Friday, 2 December 2011

Advanced Supercomputer Models Supplant Real-World Nuclear Weapons Tests

Advanced Supercomputer Models Supplant Real-World Nuclear Weapons Tests | Popular Science@import "/files/css/a1c433465f8fe485195cb11d70c36108.css";@import "/files/css/33f6b7ecb4513ed2fe6c670880a27187.css"; home Login/Register Newsletter Subscribe RSS GadgetsComputersCamerasSmartphonesVideo GamesCarsConceptsHybridsElectric CarsScienceFuture of the EnvironmentEnergyHealthPopSci Eco TourTechnologyMilitaryAviationSpaceRobotsEngineeringDIYProjectsHacksToolsAuto DIYMore From Our Partner: Toolmonger GalleriesVideosColumnsThe GrouseSex FilesGreen Dream Innovation ChallengesHow It WorksFeatures Tweet Digg Advanced Supercomputer Models Supplant Real-World Nuclear Weapons Tests But are they accurate? By Rebecca Boyle Posted 11.02.2011 at 5:41 pm 5 Comments
Trinity Test Jack Aeby / Department of Energy

While our friends Jaguar and Ranger toil to model the Earth’s atmosphere, star formation and battery chemistry, other supercomputers are working on classified national security problems. Namely: What happens when a nuclear weapon explodes? Are we sure our nuclear arsenal would actually work, should, God forbid, we decide to use it?

Related ArticlesJaguar, What Are You Working on Today?Jaguar is Getting a GPU Upgrade, to Make it the World's Fastest Supercomputer AgainOak Ridge Labs Using World's Fastest Supercomputer to Model Next-Gen Nuclear PlantsTagsTechnology, Rebecca Boyle, lawrence livermore national laboratory, military, nuclear tests, nuclear weapons, supercomputer, supercomputersAfter live nuclear testing ended (or at least was supposed to end) in 1992, supercomputers supplanted explosions so scientists could continue studying how they work. The nation’s stockpile stewardship program, run by the National Nuclear Security Administration at three national laboratories, checks the nation’s nukes for any problems. Supercomputers at Los Alamos, Sandia and Lawrence Livermore national labs conduct tests that can in some ways go beyond the detail of any live explosion, as the Washington Post reports.

They have found some good news and some bad news, as Sen. Jon Kyl, R-Ariz., puts it: “The good news is that it tells us a lot more about these weapons than we ever knew before. The bad news is that it tells us the weapons have bigger problems that we realized,” he tells the WaPo.

For example, several years ago scientists at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory modeled the life cycle of a nuke, from the moment it leaves storage to the instant it impacts its target. They found some fatal flaws that would cause the warhead to “fail catastrophically,” as the Post quotes Bruce T. Goodwin, Livermore’s principal associate director for weapons programs. The military has since fixed the problem, the Post reports.

The flaw lay in the weapon’s ballistics handling, not its explosivity, so this is something that could never have been revealed in a physical test, the Post notes. The power of supercomputers to model these types of things could negate the need for physical testing, some officials say — but Congress has still not ratified the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (although the U.S. abides by it). It turns out not everyone trusts supercomputers. Kyl believes while they are helpful, they’re not a substitute for testing, the Post quotes him saying. “That’s why, even though we’re not testing right now, we should not give up the legal right to test,” he said.

Click through to the Post's account for the full story on how supercomputers are helping model the most explosive forces in nature.

[Washington Post]

Previous Article: See The Data-Centric Universe, Then and NowNext Article: What Are You Doing Today, iForge? 5 Comments Link to this comment D13 11/02/11 at 10:52 pm

what further testing of "nukes" is needed?

"Do not try and bend the spoon. That's impossible. Instead... only try to realize the truth. There is no spoon."

Link to this comment trireme 11/03/11 at 1:27 am

@ D13- Brand-new-off-the-assembly-line nukes don't need testing, but the US stockpile has many 30+ year old nukes whose components have been bombarded by radiation for all that time. There is a program to refurbish/replace the components on these older weapons, but there is a backlog. Politicians don't like nuclear testing, but many nuclear experts don't trust the computer simulations.

Link to this comment emneumann 11/03/11 at 7:24 am

Not to mention the spontaneous degredation of the fissile and fusable elements that are the true heart of the bomb. Over time, there is less of the U-235 and Deuterium and or Tritium that would produce a lower yield in the best case or prevent a chain reaction altogether in the worst case.

Link to this comment scientific anomaly 11/03/11 at 8:20 am

well thats not extremely good that when its in mid flight it decides to take out the u.s. military base than the enemies. atleast the terrorrists would be dead in the explosion too

-Knock knock
-Who's there?
-The Doctor.
-Doctor Who?
-Yes

Link to this comment Q 11/03/11 at 8:33 am

D13,
Any and all electronic components as they are stored degrade. Some electronic components simply stop working all together sitting on the shelf. With that said, consider how old the original nuclear bombs, missiles and arsenal are. The active ones we have need to be constantly pulled and the electronics constantly test, simply because they are aging.

Besides, over the course of time as you know, there have been many improvements in electronics and so upgrades are made to the weapons too.

To comment, please Login. Popular TagsTechnology NASA International Space Station robots space DARPA computers UAVs drones Boeing satellites All Tags All Photos All Videos Photo GalleriesRSS LinkTechnologyGallery: A Glass Astronomical Database Goes Digital Archive Gallery: Classic Thrill Rides and Carnival AttractionsGallery: The X Prize Oil Cleanup Challenge+ More Photo Galleries


138 years of Popular Science at your fingertips.

Innovation Challenges Make your ideas part of the revolutionNovel Barrier Materials or Formulations for Paper PackagingAward: $20,000 USDPopular Science / InnoCentive : Science Lesson Plan for Grades 6-8Award: $25,000 USDLearn morePowered by Innocentive



Popular Science+ For iPad

Each issue has been completely reimagined for your iPad. See our amazing new vision for magazines that goes far beyond the printed page



Download Our App

Stay up to date on the latest news of the future of science and technology from your iPhone or Android phone with full articles, images and offline viewing



Follow Us On Twitter

Featuring every article from the magazine and website, plus links from around the Web. Also see our PopSci DIY feed


November 2011: Data Is Power

This month, we examine all the ways information is driving our future, from dating to crime to how we see the world.

Plus: turning your smartphone into a wallet, BMW's electric cars, and a space heater with no fan.

Read the issue here.



Enter here
Learn more
Find out more

Popular on Popsci Most Viewed TechnologyChinese Rare Earth Company Strokes Mustache, Cuts Off World's Access to Rare Earths to Inflate PricesInside the DIY Weapons Workshop of the Libyan RebelsVideo: Google Finally Explains the Tech Behind Their Autonomous CarsVideo: A 4,500-Pound Minesweeping, Drone-Launching, Armored Autonomous Mini-TankVideo: Flying Sphere-Shaped Drone Wows Crowds in TokyoFoambot Creates Itself Out of Sprayable Foam, Becoming Whatever Robot You NeedAerospace Entrepreneur/Motelier Robert Bigelow Thinks the Chinese Will Take Over the MoonGallery: Last Night's Auroras as They Appeared from Across the HemisphereDARPA's 'Flying Humvee' Is Moving Ahead, Ready For PrototypeSoftware Seamlessly Inserts New Objects Into Existing Photographs Most Emailed TechnologyAdvanced Supercomputer Models Supplant Real-World Nuclear Weapons TestsWhat Are You Doing Today, iForge?The Rise of the MachinesGallery: A Glass Astronomical Database Goes Digital What Are You Working on Today, Roadrunner?Can Technology Save the Military From a Data Deluge?See The Data-Centric Universe, Then and NowThe World's Most Amazing Databases: WorldCatMathematicians Take on East LA Gangs With Crime-Solving AlgorithmThe Unsplittable Bit Most Commented TechnologyVideo: Google Finally Explains the Tech Behind Their Autonomous CarsChinese Rare Earth Company Strokes Mustache, Cuts Off World's Access to Rare Earths to Inflate PricesAerospace Entrepreneur/Motelier Robert Bigelow Thinks the Chinese Will Take Over the MoonDARPA's 'Flying Humvee' Is Moving Ahead, Ready For PrototypeThe Unsplittable BitVideo: Flying Sphere-Shaped Drone Wows Crowds in TokyoInside the DIY Weapons Workshop of the Libyan RebelsThe Glory of Big DataVideo: A 4,500-Pound Minesweeping, Drone-Launching, Armored Autonomous Mini-TankGround-Based Laser Cannon to Turn Space Debris into Self-Powered Flaming De-Orbiting Rockets circ-top-header.gif circ-cover.gif Name Address 1   City State STATE Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware DC Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York N. Carolina N. Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island S. Carolina S. Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington W. Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Zip Code Email Today on PopSci.com Archive Gallery: The Telephone580511141Gallery: Last Night's Auroras as They Appeared from Across the Hemisphere579731142iPhone 4S Review: Apple's Restraint579851143Inside the DIY Weapons Workshop of the Libyan Rebels579261144Archive Gallery: Classic Thrill Rides and Carnival Attractions577661145PopSci's 10th Annual Brilliant 10569011146Winner of Million-Dollar X Challenge Cleans Up Oil Spills Three Times Better Than Existing Tech576801147Archive Gallery: Steve Jobs in the Pages of Popular Science, Over Three Decades575701148Futuristic Predictions From the Past That Steve Jobs Fulfilled575381149Can Animals Really Be Gay?5748811410Video: Solar Sinter Project Turns the Desert's Free Abundance of Sand and Sun into 3-D-Printed Glass 5514211411Five Reasons You Should Care About the New Ozone Hole Over the Arctic5741711412 Footer Menu Subscribe to the Print EditionSubscribe to the Digital EditionRenew SubscriptionCustomer ServiceSite MapAbout UsContact UsAdvertisingPrivacy PolicyTerms of UseAbuseRSS FeedsPS Showcase

 

Copyright © 2009 Popular Science

A Bonnier Corporation Company. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited.


View the original article here

No comments:

Post a Comment